Before the 2010 elections, the Republicans bet that if they could anti-message President Obama, they'd win.
Now they're betting that they'll out-message him on the economy. I bet they'll win that bet.
Ari Emanuel is saying Obama will be like Harry Truman, win re-election, and not be fully appreciated until he's out of office. I have not heard any Truman like speeches out of Obama. I think Ari Emanuel is living in a different world.
Robert Kuttner: In the next 2 years, the Fed won't be able to pull us out of a recession. Obama didn't listen to Christine Romer when she told him that the stimulus bill was way too small. He didn't explain and market it well, so he lost older voters. The public is uninformed, and he shouldn't have lost older voters.
Because of the poor design of the Obama health plan, and the ineptitude of explaining or marketing it, older voters came away convinced that the scheme would come at the expense of their Medicare.
Obama's goal was to appease the Republicans and ConservaDems. He didn't have an alternative with Blanche Lincoln and Ben Nelson. The ConservaDems lost in the 2010 elections. They were taken out with enormous amounts of money, and because of tactical mistakes along the way...
The GOP propaganda creates opposition to Obama's policies.
The real question is how we do this without the active collaboration of a Democratic president who is fast becoming more albatross than ally.
Movement based politics is the solution. And we should be pushing that harder.
So our task is to step into the leadership vacuum that Obama has left, and fashion a compelling narrative about who and what are destroying America. Our movement needs the passion and single mindedness of the Tea Party movement, and it helps that we have reality on our side. If we do our jobs, we can move public opinion, discredit the right, and elect progressives to office. Even Barack Obama might embrace us, if only as a last resort.
This president will never be a Progressive. Period. But I do want to see him re-elected, because of the Supreme Court, and maybe he can get some good things done around the edges.
We have to rebuild a progessive infrastructure in the context of the Democratic party and outside of the Democratic party... our version of the CATO institute, etc.
You and I are the new green shoots in what will become the mighty force of the Progressive future of this country. I'm not seeing this in the White House. There are some in Congress, most of them in the House. We've got some allies, but we have a long way to go, and we've got to start getting there.
I would love to see Howard Dean run for president, but I don't want to see Obama weakened. He's not telling people the economy is the Republicans' fault. The narrative has to change.
I don't want to take down Obama... we have to build a movement.
As long as Summers, Geithner, Bernanke are where they are, I believe this White House has been captured by Wall St.
But, when Darrell Issa goes after Obama the way Newt went after Clinton, Obama may get angry enough to fight back, but I doubt it. He's called a Kenyan, angry black man, unAmerican... and he's just saying, "Let's get some stuff done." I'm in awe of how thick his skin is, but that doesn't mean I think it's wise politics.
Robert Kuttner, co-editor of American Prospect, asks how to save the Progressive movement. Reagan had two recessions that followed his tax cuts. FDR didn't wait six months, he waited two weeks...Obama's getting bad advice (Summers, Geithner)...
Most Progressives gave up before the election. They didn't show up. The ConservaDems lost, and by default, the GOP won. Young people outnumbered old people in 2008. This time, it was the exact opposite. How do we build an enduring Progressive movement?
Today, Paul Krugman points out that Alan Simpson (co-chair of the Debt Commission) says that there will be a blood bath in April. He thinks the GOP will say "We won't raise the debt ceiling unless you put a knife in the heart of the government" and government will bleed all over.
“I can’t wait for the blood bath in April. ... When debt limit time comes, they’re going to look around and say, ‘What in the hell do we do now? We’ve got guys who will not approve the debt limit extension unless we give ’em a piece of meat, real meat,’ ” meaning spending cuts. “And boy, the blood bath will be extraordinary,” he continued. [...]
...[I]f sabotaging the president endangers the nation, so be it.
This is an American politician, picked by Obama to co-chair his commission?
My sense is that most Americans still don’t understand this reality. They still imagine that when push comes to shove, our politicians will come together to do what’s necessary. But that was another country.
It’s hard to see how this situation is resolved without a major crisis of some kind. Mr. Simpson may or may not get the blood bath he craves this April, but there will be blood sooner or later. And we can only hope that the nation that emerges from that blood bath is still one we recognize.
Running someone against Obama would be suicide. But if we build a Progressive movement before 2012, we can not only get Obama re-elected (Supreme Court is at stake), but we can achieve real change.
Showing up at the polls, voting, would be a very, very good start.