Allan Lichtman picks Obama to win in 2012. P.S. He's never wrong.


If a Republican wins the presidential election, then this country's voters have a collective death wish. I wish I meant that figuratively, but if the GOP has its way, we can say good-bye to Social Security and Medicare as we know it, and that would literally crush seniors and the poorest among us. And don't get me started on privatization in general, foreign policy, health care, tax cuts, ad nauseam...

Not that President Obama wouldn't alter programs in some way, too, as in being open to raising the Medicare eligibility age to 67, among other things, but if a Republican wins, and the House and/or the Senate end up in GOP hands, that's a worrisome toxic combination.

We need a Democratic president's veto power at the very least. With a loony President "God Told Me To Do It" Perry as chief executive, for example-- well, I don't even want to think about what would happen. Via Washington Whispers:

Allan Lichtman, the American University professor whose election formula has correctly called every president since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 re-election, has a belated birthday present for Barack Obama: Rest easy, your re-election is in the bag.

“Even if I am being conservative, I don’t see how Obama can lose,” says Lichtman, the brains behind The Keys to the White House. [...]

Lichtman developed his 13 Keys in 1981. They test the performance of the party that holds the presidency. If six or more of the 13 keys go against the party in power, then the opposing party wins.“The keys have figured into popular politics a bit,” Lichtman says. “They’ve never missed. They’ve been right seven elections in a row. A number that goes way beyond statistical significance in a record no other system even comes close to.”

Now we have to get out the vote, or Lichtman's magic keys mean nothing.