Archive for surplus

U.S. budget surplus biggest in 5 years; federal deficit is down 32% so far this fiscal year

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chart budget deficit shrinks 4 year low Steve Benen Maddow Blog Oct 2012

If Fox Biz says it, it must be true. Via an email alert:

The U.S. federal budget surplus came in at $112.9 billion in April, up from $59 billion in the same month in 2012. The government is running a $488 billion deficit for fiscal 2013, down from $720 billion in a comparable period in fiscal 2012.

And via Market Watch:

It was the first monthly surplus since January and the biggest monthly surplus since the $159 billion budget surplus of April 2008.

Tax receipts were $407 billion, up 28% versus April 2012 [...]

Some see the government’s improving finances as affecting a potential debt deal between President Barack Obama and Republicans. “With the deficit plunging, support for entitlement reform — which looked so promising in early April — has clearly faded,” wrote Greg Valliere, chief political strategist at Potomac Research Group in a note on Friday.

Gee, taxes were raised, unemployment is down, and the world didn’t end.

bikini graph May 2013 private sector

Everybody say it with me now: Blame Obama.

blame obama Bush's fault

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Quickie- U.S. January budget surplus $3 billion

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Basic CMYK

No clue what this means in economic terms, but it sounds good.

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The U.S. government ran a budget surplus of $3 billion in January, the Treasury Department reported on Tuesday, the first monthly surplus since September 2012. The surplus was driven by a 16% increase in revenues compared to January 2012, including from the expiration of a temporary payroll-tax cut at the end of 2012. For the first four months of fiscal 2013, the U.S. ran a deficit of $290 billion, $59 billion less than the same period in fiscal 2012. The government’s fiscal year runs from October to September.

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U.S. government posted a budget surplus in April, the first in more than 3 years

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It’s a good thing Willard Romney is such an economic wiz, because President Obama is making everything so much worse!

Oh wait.

Via Bloomberg:

The U.S. government posted a budget surplus in April, the first in more than three years, as tax revenue climbed and spending dropped.

Receipts topped outlays by $59.1 compared with a deficit of $40.4 billion in April 2011, the Treasury Department said today. Economists projected a $35 billion surplus, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey. It was the first surplus since September 2008 and the biggest since April 2008.

This is the first good news in a long while that the rising tide of tax revenues may be starting to lift as the economic expansion nears the three-year mark from the end of the recession,” Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in New York, said before the report. “The economy is growing again, but we can’t grow our way out of these trillion-dollar deficits.”

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Forget the Scary Headlines: Social Security Has More Than a $2.7 Trillion Surplus

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Your Daily Dose of BuzzFlash at Truthout, via my buddy Mark Karlin:

Get ready for the pro-Paul Ryan austerity headlines that will predict an imminent demise of Social Security. On April 23, the Social Security Trustees Report for 2012 is expected to be released [...]

But an advance analysis of the report on the financial status of the program, posted on NiemanWatchdog, argues that “last year’s report projected that at the end of 2011, Social Security would have an accumulated surplus of around $2.7 trillion, which it now has. This year’s report will show that it will be even higher at the end of 2012.” [...]

According to the commentary by Nancy Altman and Eric Kingson, “without any Congressional action, Social Security will continue to pay benefits to America’s eligible working families for decades; and that with modest legislated increases in revenue, it will continue to pay those benefits for the next century and beyond.” [...]

Instead of carrying the water for a manufactured political agenda, journalists should attend to reporting on the real crisis: older Americans are facing the increasing likelihood of falling into a much lower standard of living. [...]

The one percent who want to cut Social Security to enhance their own lined pockets of greed should be shouted down when the Trustees Report is released.

Please read the rest here.

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“How did we get from a budget surplus at the beginning of Bush’s presidency to deficits?”

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Via First Read:

So how did we get from a budget surplus at the beginning of George W. Bush’s presidency to deficits and debt as far as the eye can see? Here’s a quick timeline: the Bush tax cuts (2001), 9/11 and the Afghanistan war (2001), the Iraq war (2003), more tax cuts, the unpaid-for Medicare prescription-drug benefit (2003), the financial collapse and economic downturn (2008), the Obama stimulus (2009), and the two-year extension of the Bush tax cuts (2010). Then you add the aging Baby Boomers to the whole mix. Back in 2009, the New York Times calculated that 37% of the deficits were due the economic downturn, 33% were due to Bush’s policies, 20% were due to Obama’s extensions of Bush’s policies, and another 10% were due to Obama’s policies like the stimulus.

Bush tax cuts, Bush wars, more Bush tax cuts, Bush’s Medicare plan, Bush’s financial collapse. Do we sense a common thread here?

Let’s add all that up:

37% of the deficits started during Bush’s term + 33% to Bush’s policies + 20% due to Bush policies that Obama continued = 90% Bush policies.

10% were due to Obama’s own policies.

Of course, according to Jon Kyl, 90% = 3%, so Bush is only 3% responsible for the mess we’re in.

And that was not intended to be a factual statement.

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Rachel Maddow’s updated “Bikini Graph” + CBO surplus/deficit chart

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Thanks again to paranormalcrab for finding us another chart.  The first ones illustrating the income growth rates under Republican and Democratic administrations are here.

Now for more:

As you can see, the source is the CBO. The chart is from the Wall St. Journal.

And here is the famous (and updated) Rachel Maddow Bikini Graph:

Now Steve Benen of the Washington Monthly has updated his famous bikini graph to show just the monthly gain or loss in private jobs. [...]

With the economy still adding nowhere near enough of private-sector jobs to keep up, let alone make up for what we lost, and with so-called shadow unemployment at 17.1 percent, we’re maybe not racing for greener pastures yet. But it sure feels better than it used to.

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