Archive for president

GOP Puts Nail In Their 2016 Presidential Coffin

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nail in coffin

It has become part of political mythology that a candidate cannot win the presidency without carrying Ohio. (John F. Kennedy pulled off this feat in 1960, winning the general election even though he lost the Buckeye State.) 

We'll come back to that. But first, let's take a look at another little piece of history. It has to do with the site of the GOP national nominating conventions. It looks like there's some telltale relationship between the host city and the eventual presidential winner that should have been taken into consideration. I guess Reince Preibus missed it when he announced Cleveland, Ohio as the host city for the 2016 National convention.

In the past five presidential elections, here are the cities where the GOP held their nominating gatherings:

  • 1996 San Diego, California
  • 2000 Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • 2004 New York, New York
  • 2008 St. Paul, Minnesota
  • 2012 Tampa, Florida

So how did that work out for the convention's host state and their GOP nominee in the general election?

  • In '96 Bob Dole LOST California
  • In 2000 George Bush LOST Pennsylvania
  • In '04 George Bush LOST New York
  • In '08 John McCain LOST Minnesota
  • In '12 Mitt Romney LOST Florida.

Five elections, five GOP host state losses. So now that the RNC has chosen Cleveland, Ohio to host their convention and no president has won the general election without winning Ohio for a long time, things are looking quite bleak. And if you're thinking of the Kennedy exception, to borrow from Lloyd Bentsen to Dan Quayle:

Senator, I served with Jack Kennedy. I knew Jack Kennedy. Jack Kennedy was a friend of mine. Senator, you're no Jack Kennedy

And neither are any of the Republican potential candidates for 2016.

say goodnight, Gracie

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Romney All In For Another Run To Purchase White House

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dollar signs

Six months ago, I posted on The Political Carnival that Mitt Romney was leading in the New Hampshire polls for a 2016 run. And in those six months, nothing has changed. He still leads.

Last week's Suffolk University/Boston Herald poll of New Hampshire Republicans finds Romney to be the overwhelming favorite to be their 2016 GOP presidential nominee, with 24 percent going for Mitt and a mere 9 percent for the second-place finisher, Christie.

On the surface, Mitt is saying no, but in reality, he's pulling out all the stops behind the scenes to make a third go of it, having failed in 2008 to McCain and having bested the GOP crowd in 2012. Romney is actively looking to blunt the fundraising of the other Republicans in consideration, Rand Paul, Rafael Cruz, Marco Rubio, Chris Christie and even Jeb Bush.

It takes huge money to run for POTUS. Romney not only has a lot of it himself, but according to this report from THE HILL:

Here is the dirty little secret of the GOP donor class, i.e. the rich establishment bundlers who funded the recent presidential campaigns of the Bushes, Sen. John McCain (Ariz.) and former Gov. Mitt Romney (Mass.): They are actively trying to recruit Romney to run again in 2016 — and Mitt is indeed interested.

With the Chris Christie Bridge scandals and the lack of support for Jeb Bush, there's nowhere for the Republican party to turn if they want to beat Hillary Clinton. And for once, this is a smart choice for the Republicans. Romney has a ground organization. He's got name recognition. And he's got the bankroll.

How certain can we be that Romney's really going to go full bore?

At least that was the word sweeping through emails and conference calls heading into mid-June's exclusive Romney-sponsored GOP ideas summit out in Utah.

The truth is that the entire Utah event was actually aimed at beginning the process of having Romney again be the candidate of this Establishment Money Machine — only with some severe, but reachable, caveats.

Romney spoke to this summit — and on Sunday morning TV shows — on "how to beat Hillary," without actually saying what many were thinking: "Mitt Romney is the only Republican who could beat her."

 

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Who Does America Really Want In 2016?

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Clinton Warren

A few days ago, Huffington Post reported that Hillary Clinton was on the unofficial campaign trial and in her speeches she was sounding more and more like Massachusetts Democratic Senator, Elizabeth Warren.

Today, CNN is reporting that Veep Joe Biden gave a speech on Friday in South Carolina where he was channeling the words and themes of Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren.

When you think of it, the two announced "unannounced" Democratic candidates for the highest office in America are Clinton and Biden. Yet where are they getting their talking points? Hmm, Senator Elizabeth Warren.

Why not cut out the middle man, or woman?

Think about it. Who really is the voice of the Democratic party for 2016? It could be Clinton or Biden. But are they really just Charlie McCarthys and EW is Edgar Bergen? More and more it's becoming quite clear that the Clinton baggage of the trumped up Benghazi campaign are meant to embarrass her and turn off voters over a Hillary C run in 2016.

And let's face it. Much of her allure is not strictly her experience. Forget being First Lady. It's a ceremonial position. If it wasn't, it would be an elected or appointed position. Her years of being a Senator and being Secretary of State are very important, valuable experience. So she's got that hands down. But she comes, sadly with a lot of baggage. And now the upcoming Benghazi hearings will tarnish her very stellar reputation more -- even if everything she did was  by the book, according to Hoyle.

What really sets her aside from all of the potential Republicans running for the top office is that she herself is a woman. Go poo-poo that all you want, but it's true. And if you are honest with yourself and realize that, consider this-- so is Elizabeth Warren. No one, not even Clinton, knows more about big business, Wall Street and all of the consumer rip-offs that the public faces daily. No one. Clinton's not even on the same page. She's too often rubbing shoulders with big money. She's, as they say, "beholden.'"

That puts a bit more focus on Joe Biden should Hillary falter. And let's face it. Joe's more often the punch line to a joke than a serious contender to lead this country. He's a good man, but we need a great leader. And Joe's two specialties before he was elected Veep were putting his foot in his mouth and  foreign relations. Right now, even with Syria, Russia, Ukraine, Iran and other hotbed spots around the world, the US citizenry is more interested in what's happening here with our economy - jobs, minimum wage, income inequality, unemployment benefits, and equal pay.

Where else should we be looking if those are the biggest issues? There's really only one answer. And she's available -- just not pushing. Even when asked point blank, she's got the standard answer down -- she's not looking for the Presidency but rather what she can do as a senator.

Why settle for second best, Clinton and Biden? Why not go to the horse's mouth -- Warren. Both Clinton and Biden are trying to channel her and her thoughts. Why not just get the real thing, the real McCoy? Perhaps it's time for a few more Democrats to start thinking about a draft Warren movement while there's still time. We could do a lot worse and I'm not sure Clinton or Biden would be any better for America, nor any more electable.

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Bing, Bing, Bing -- America's Toast If Hillary Clinton Becomes President

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Hillary

We all know one of the most hysterical pieces of political satire came when Saturday Night Live had Tina Fey come out and read a speech as then Veep candidate Sarah Palin, exactly as delivered by the Alaska Governor. Fey didn't change a word and it brought the house down with laughter.

SNL, here's your next "exactly as is" moment -- only this time it's with Bill O'Reilly. He couldn't possibly be topped, not even with Stephen Colbert doing the narration. Just pure O'Reilly taking on women and Hillary Clinton in particular is priceless.

Take a look. You can't believe Bill with his "Bibbidy-Bobbidy-Boo mentality.

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Ann Coulter Accuses Obama Of Taking Retard Pills

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anncoulter

Now I'm not sure of the political correctness of this all, but when it's Ann Coulter, nothing much that she says has any resemblance to political correctness. I think "retard" is best left off the table, especially when used with her intent.

She had a radio chat today with conservative host Howie Carr and as you would expect, she targeted President Obama. But interestingly, she took a new tack... No longer is she arguing where Obama was actually born, she just wants you to close your eyes and for a moment "believe" that he was born in -- that's right -- you're just ahead of me, Kenya.

The ultra conservative wacko doesn't stop the Fantasyland express there. No, she goes the extra mile as only Ann Of A Thousand Daze can do. From Raw Story:

“But, let’s just think for a thought experiment for a moment: if Obama were born in another country, had no love for this country, and had set out to destroy America, what would he be doing differently?”

She'd be certifiably crazy if she stopped there. But she went on. She took a hit at the President's confession that he's taken his share of  hits, or tokes might be a bit more on point. After Carr told her that smoking grass could lower your IQ by up to 8 points, Ann opened her mouth and proved 8 is 10 more than she has.

“And a hundred points off your initiative and ambition,” Coulter replied. “It is as if they have legalized retard pills. You’ll have a kick, but you won’t be able to accomplish anything in your life, including delivering a newspaper.”

Got a minute to take a listen? You won't regret it.

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Cartoons of the Day- JFK 50th anniversary

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jfk503

Ross Gosse

jfk50

Jimmy Margulies

Eternal Flame

Rob Rogers

jfk502

David Fitzsimmons

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GOP Drawing Plans For The Future

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Mechanical drawing

When I was in high school I took a class in mechanical drawing. It actually was a pretty cool course as it taught me a lot about measurements, dimensions, perspective and engineering. But one lesson I remember most from that class, showing the builder what is there, not what isn't. And I've found that applicable to all work that I've done, writing, producing, political punditry. You need to focus on what's there, not what's missing.

My first mechanical drawing project was to blueprint a rectangular "frame" that was 8x6. The center hole was 4x4. I rendered the plans indicating the outside dimensions of the top (8) and the side (4) and I also gave the dimensions of the hole, 4 inches square. Easy.

When I turned it in, I was extremely pleased. But when the grade came back, I only got a "D".

I asked the teacher why, and he taught me a valuable lesson that the GOP needs to learn.""You don't give the dimensions of what's not there," the teacher told me. "You show the builder what is." We deal in a results based world.

He corrected my drawing by indicating the widths of the top and side rails, not the hole in the middle.

The same foundational thinking is necessary as the 2014 midterm election approach. For the GOP, it's not what they didn't do that we will vote for/against; its what they did do. (Which is very little, even less that the Harry Truman dubbed, 'Do Nothing' Congress)

Sadly, our current spate of GOP law makers don't have a lot to show for their time in the Majority.

The 213th Congress can focus on 42 attempts to derail the Affordable Care Act. That's a positive action. Not a popular one but it's something they did do. They voted to cut the deficit as well as food stamps, but that only happened by way of the sequester, and sadly both parties are responsible for that. And finally, the majority in the House shut the government down. That certainly isn't going to win them too many votes. You need to look hard and finely to register any other legislative wins.

That fact is this country has more registered Democrats than Republicans. And the big races and certainly the Presidency will require Independents and cross over Democrats for the Republicans to win nationally-- even with gerrymandering. How are you going to make a dent in those numbers running strictly on what's not there? Under Reince Priebus they've become preoccupied with stressing the dimensions of the square donut hole void in the middle, and not the support rails that do exist. They're running on what's not there, not what is.

By 2014, Obamacare will be up and working. It's a sleeping giant that's already stretching, yawning and wiping away the morning gunk from it's eyes. Perhaps the GOP should think about sewing some suitable clothes for the waking giant rather than wishing it away. It's not going away, so find a way to become it's friend. An ally monster is far better than an angry one.

So the Republicans, if they're smart (no guarantee there), through all their bluster, need to stop giving us the dimensions of  the hole -- their lack of legislation. Their failure to govern. They wallow in what they haven't done (the void). They've stifled health care, immigration, education, science, climate control, adequate food assistance, a viable jobs program, fixing the infrastructure and meaningful finance reform. Boasting how you prevented these programs from existing isn't anything more that your continued describing the hole they've dug.

Perhaps the biggest accomplishment this past year is their majority led vote to shorten the number of working days from 141 to 127 and then complaining they don't  have enough time, now that we're mid-way through November, to pass any legislation. Don't look for voter sympathy on that one.

If you want to do something, quickly bring the Senate immigration bill up for a vote  in the House. At least end the year on a high note. Have something positive to stand for, not just the giant hole you've dug for yourself so far.

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