Archive for poll

Young voters now much more solidly Democratic than prior generations


young voters Democrats

The more important question is, how do we get young voters to the polls to actually, you know, vote?

gallup young voters Democrats


Young adults -- those between the ages of 18 and 29 -- have typically aligned themselves with the Democratic Party, but they have become substantially more likely to do so since 2006. [...]

Recent decades have brought significant shifts in Americans' political allegiances, in the short term and the long term. While young adults have generally been more likely to align themselves with the Democratic Party than the Republican Party, they are now much more solidly Democratic than prior generations of young adults.

To a large extent, this reflects the increasing racial and ethnic diversity of the U.S. population, particularly among the youngest generations of Americans. And that growing diversity creates challenges for the Republican Party, given nonwhites' consistent and strong support for the Democratic Party.

Here's an idea, Republicans: If you want to attract the youth vote, try kicking bigots, racists, misogynists, birthers, and other loons out of your party. Then support immigration, public education, Obamacare, women's rights, voting rights, and civil rights. And instead of redistricting in order to win votes, earn them.

In other words, begin to open what's left of your minds and turn that fake outreach effort into reality.

What am I nuts? Look who I'm talking to here.


More identify as liberals, leaving conservatives with smallest advantage in 20 years


watch out

gallup liberals

Ruh roh! Watch out, America, the evil liberals are coming for you! Blame the Kenyan Muslim Marxist Commie Fascist gay French president, because he's contagious! Ack!

Yes, that very centrist, not-all-that progressive Dem in the Oval Office is clearly rubbing his icky-but-scarce lib cooties all over voters. Oh em gee, we're all gonna catch Liberalitis! Someone develop a vaccine, stat!

By the by, per Gallup, there will be even more political division than there is now. Hard to imagine.


Independents are no more likely now than in the past to describe their political views as liberal.The main change in independents' views is that they increasingly call themselves conservative. That could be related to recent developments in party identification, with fewer Americans now identifying as Republicans and more as independents. Thus, the change in independents' ideological preferences may be attributable to former Republicans, who are more likely to be politically conservative, now residing in the independent category. [...]

The rise in liberal identification has been accompanied by a decline in moderate identification. [...]

The changes in ideological identification among party groups has resulted in a rise in the percentage of Americans overall who call themselves liberal and a decrease in the percentage of moderates. Even though the percentage of conservatives has generally held steady, the rise in liberal identification leaves conservatives with their smallest advantage over liberals in the last two decades.If the trends in Democratic self-identification continue, that gap will likely continue to shrink over time, and could lead to further polarization in U.S. politics.



Quickie: Encouraging news from Wisconsin. Yes, Wisconsin.


quickie time

Today's Quickie:

WisPolitics is reporting that Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker is neck-and-neck with Dem challenger Mary Burke. Walker's laughing the poll off:

Burke campaign spokesman Joe Zepecki said the numbers confirm how deeply divided the state is politically and wants new leadership "that's about solving problems, not picking fights."

And Wisconsin Public Radio is reporting some good news on the marriage equality front. A first:

A Marquette University poll shows that support for same-sex marriage in Wisconsin has increased almost 10 percent during the last year, with a majority now in favor of the practice.

So there.

That was today's Quickie. Was it good for you?


Poll-itics: Glitches, schmlitches, America's view of #Obamacare is steady


jim crow obamacare

Republicans: OH MY GOD, OBAMACARE IS GOING TO DESTROY AMERICA! OBAMA AND SEBELIUS LIED! WE'RE ALL GONNA DIE AND IT'S OBAMA'S FAULT! (Did we mention that the Affordable Care Act was originally a Republican plan? Shhhh.)

Democrats: The Affordable Care Act had a really crappy roll out, but the plan is sound, lives and money have been and will be saved, and we will fix the embarrassing problems.

America: Yeah whatever.


Bottom Line

The healthcare law has been in the spotlight during the recent government shutdown and as the federal health exchange website has experienced significant technical problems since it opened on Oct. 1. Still, Americans' perceptions of the future impact of the healthcare law and their familiarity with it have been stable over the last several months, and approval of the law has varied within a narrow range.

It appears that Americans' views on the law are relatively fixed at the moment, leaving open the question of whether support will rise once the law's provisions are fully implemented and more uninsured Americans get health insurance.

Not that they're singing the ACA's praises, but as far as all the Republican smears are concerned, most people responded with a collective, "Meh."


Poll-itics: For first time, Americans favor legalizing marijuana


marijuana you must be high

Smoke 'em if you got 'em.


gallup marijuana

... [F]or the first time, a clear majority of Americans (58%) say the drug should be legalized. This is in sharp contrast to the time Gallup first asked the question in 1969, when only 12% favored legalization. [...]

The jump in support for legalization has occurred largely among independents [...]

Americans 65 and older are the only age group that still opposes legalizing marijuana. Still, support among this group has jumped 14 percentage points since 2011. ... 67% of Americans aged 18 to 29 back legalization. Clear majorities of Americans aged 30 to 64 also favor legalization. [...]

With Americans' support for legalization quadrupling since 1969, and localities on the East Coast such as Portland, Maine, considering a symbolic referendum to legalize marijuana, it is clear that interest in this drug and these issues will remain elevated in the foreseeable future.

More details and poll numbers at the link.


Poll-itics: Americans don't want GOP to control the House, do want Boehner to go, #Obamacare to stay


gop fail off cliff

A CNN/ORC poll has some bad news for the GOP as a whole and for John Boehner as an A-hole. Sorry, I'm in "a mood" and couldn't resist that one. Bygones.

But seriously folks, Americans don't think it's a good idea for the GOP to control the House of Representatives, nor do they think Boehner should remain Speaker. Check this out:

Just over half the public says that it's bad for the country that the GOP controls the House of Representatives, according to a new national poll conducted after the end of the partial government shutdown.

And the CNN/ORC International survey also indicates that more than six in 10 Americans say that Speaker of the House John Boehner should be replaced.

CNN Polling Director Keating Holland:

"Sixty-three percent of all Americans think that Boehner should be replaced as Speaker of the House, a view shared by roughly half of all Republicans."

And 54% say no way to a GOP-controlled House. That number is up 11 points since December 2012. Amazingly, 38% still think it would be just swell if they kept control of the House, down a whopping 13 points.

This is the first time since the Republicans won back control of the House in the 2010 midterm elections that a majority say their control of the chamber is bad for the country.

And just as has been the case for a very long time now, Congress's numbers are still in the toidy: They have a 12% job approval:

86% give federal lawmakers a thumbs-down, also near the all-time high.

America is wising up. Now it's up to the Democrats to keep the anti-Republican momentum going and give voters a reason to support a Democratic majority again. Don't blow it, Dems.

By the way, once again, a "majority favor health care law or say it doesn't go far enough":

According to the poll, just more than four in 10 say they favor the law, with 56% opposed to it. But of those opposed, 38% say they are against the law because they think it's too liberal and 12% say it's not liberal enough. That means that 53% either support Obamacare, or say it's not liberal enough.

President Obama on health care: "We did not wage this long and contentious battle just around a website."


VIDEO- GOP's jaw-dropping, "horrifying" poll numbers: "That's the end of the world! That's terrible!


GOP fail cruz shutdown(h/t: @JeffTiedrich)

GOP fail worst poll for them ever

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Rachel Maddow provided this Moment of Schadenfreude, and for that I am grateful:

...Americans are also really quite clear about who they'd blame for this mess. They blame Republicans, by a margin of 22 points. It is not close. And that, of course, is not good news for the Republican party.

Now, to be fair, it's not like it's roses for anybody, for things to be this bad. look at this. President Obama is about six points above water, his favorable/unfavorable says positive ratings are six points higher than his negative ratings.

The Democratic party is actually underwater by a single point. Their positive ratings are one point lower than their negative ratings. Okay.

But look at this: House Speaker John Boehner, whose Republican party is blamed for the shutdown, and he's at minus 25.

The tea party movement, they're at minus 26.

The Republican party, the entire Republican party, checks in at minus 29. That's the end of the world. That's terrible! That's 28 points south of the Democrats on the favorable/unfavorable scale. That doesn't exist in two-party states...

The Republican party has never polled lower than they are polling right now in the history of this poll. Why do people dislike them so much right now?

Well, in the same poll, 70% of people say Republicans are putting their own political agenda ahead of what is good for the country.

These are horrifying, finger-vision numbers for Republicans.

Americans are disliking the Republican party right now more than they ever have in modern history.


Here is the entire segment:

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