Above is just the “mandate” clip. I wish he’d said more about poverty than “families that are working hard to try to get into the middle class,” but overall he came out swinging, sounding stronger than he did during his first term pressers.
Here’s the entire press conference:
Nate Silver has been mocked, insulted, and slurred by very angry, very humiliated, very small-minded, nasty conservatives, because he was right. The GOP and the truth haven’t been getting along too well, and this was no exception. Republicans *coughKARLROVEcough* believed their own polls, they reside in their own bubble, and they’ve literally ignored facts and figures.
But none of that could change the truth, and none of that has fazed Nate the Great at FiveThirtyEight, who has even more to say. And that “more” includes President Obama likely extending his lead to a healthy three percent.
Here are a few excerpts from Nate’s latest post titled “Turnout Steady in Swing States and Down in Others, But Many Votes Remain Uncounted“:
Initial accounts of last Tuesday’s presidential election contemplated what seemed to be a significant decline in turnout from 2008. Those reports may have been premature, at least in part. [...]
Even without these votes, turnout in the battleground states over all was generally near its 2008 levels. In contrast, it is down by about 9 percent in the other 40 states, based on ballots counted so far. Some of the shortfall will be made up in the coming days. In California, where most balloting is conducted by mail and where it can take weeks to certify the vote, about 3.4 million fewer votes than in 2008 have been reported so far.
As the rest of the votes come in from California, Mr. Obama could add about 700,000 more votes in his margin against Mr. Romney, assuming that the remaining votes are divided between the candidates in about the same proportions as the ones counted so far.
Those votes could be enough to push Mr. Obama’s margin of victory in the national popular vote, reported at 2.7 percent as of Monday morning, to slightly higher than 3 percent.
And just to rub snark to the GOP wound, here’s a treat from my hilarious buddy Andy Cobb:
To the extent that his proclivities are of importance to you please substitute “dudes” for “chicks” in all dialogue: Mr. Silver is gay. But in the popular imagination he’s suddenly become a heterosexual superhero–wonky, pragmatic, and able to steer through uncertain times. Suddenly girls wanna do him/men wanna be him. Good for him.
“Drunk Nate Silver” became a Twitter thing recently, which makes perfect sense. People intuitively know prophecy is a gift…and a burden. In the face of such relentless clarity he might well crave some oblivion–if you or I had to deal with that kind of insight we’d probably go straight to the bottle and get messy as Rasmussen.
So if the web wants to superimpose Charles Bukowski on Nate Silver, let it. I would personally rather fantasize that he’s a booze-hungry skirt-chasing seer of visions than learn all that fucking math.
And cm’on, if you don’t buy his book you’re going to have a much harder time pretending you’ve read it:
http://www.amazon.com/The-Signal-Noise-Predictions-Fail-but/dp/159420411X/ref…
Don’t be the last person at the party to act like you understand Bayesian processes vis-a-vis free market economics, you’re going to look like a real a-hole.
Written/Directed by Andy Cobb
http://www.twitter.com/AndyCobb
Producer/DP: Mike Damanskis
Co-writer: Eric R. Pfeffinger
Who was it that made the claim that President Obama was the one who refused to reach out and “find common ground” despite his efforts to compromise? Oh that’s right, Republicans.
Who was it that, on Inauguration Night, conspired to obstruct and destroy President Obama? Oh that’s right, Republicans.
Who is it that continues to obstruct and refuse to reach out? Oh that’s right, Republicans, never mind that pesky mandate:
Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy
McConnell: GOP not budging on tax rates
Conservatives press the states to keep fighting ‘ObamaCare’
Who lost the election? Oh that’s right, Republicans.
Newt Gingrich in 2005 Healthcare Cease Fire with Senator Hillary Clinton supporting the idea of a personal responsibility to buy health insurance.
Other Newt flip-flops here.
It’s time for another episode of “Republicans Eating Their Own.”
Greg Sargent links us to an interview with Jonathan Gruber, the M.I.T. professor whose ideas were central to then-Massachusetts Gov. Romney’s health reform law, via Capital New York. And he didn’t mince words:
“This is, to my mind, the most blatantly obvious case of politics trumping policy I’ve ever seen in my life. Because this is an idea, that four or five years ago, Republicans were touting. A guy from the Heritage Foundation spoke at the bill signing in Massachusetts about how good this bill was.”
He credited Mitt Romney for not totally disavowing the Massachusetts bill during his presidential campaign, but said Romney’s attempt to distinguish between Obama’s bill and his own is disingenuous.
“The problem is there is no way to say that,” Gruber said. “Because they’re the same fucking bill. He just can’t have his cake and eat it too. Basically, you know, it’s the same bill. He can try to draw distinctions and stuff, but he’s just lying. The only big difference is he didn’t have to pay for his. Because the federal government paid for it. Where at the federal level, we have to pay for it, so we have to raise taxes.”
Greg has more commentary about MittFlop here.
So the Big Race boils down to Newton Leroy Gingrich or Willard Mitt Romney, at least as of now, and they’re both liars. That’s some field you’ve got there, GOP.
2016 will not be this easy, and we still have a real battle on our hands for 2012. Enjoy the fun while you can.
Now, any sane political party would take advantage of this huge jump and head out there on all the talkers and media it can find and ram this message home. Get themselves a catchy phrase like “smoking gun” and the game would be over.
Washington (CNN) – The public is divided over the idea of requiring all Americans to have health insurance, according to a new national survey. But a CNN/ORC International Poll also indicates that support for the proposal, a cornerstone of the 2010 health care reform law, has risen since June.
(snip)
According to the poll, 52% of Americans favor mandatory health insurance, up from 44% in June. The survey indicates that 47% oppose the health insurance mandate, down from 54% in early summer.“The health insurance mandate has gained most support since June among older Americans and among lower-income Americans,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “A majority of independents opposed the measure in June, but 52 percent of them now favor it.”
Mitt Flops time! Ready?
Willard Mitt Romney did not raise $10 million in one day, no matter what he says.
Willard Mitt Romney was an aggressive champion of the individual health care mandate, no matter what he says.
Willard Mitt Romney did say that President Obama made the recession worse, no matter what he says:
And Willard Mitt Romney did praise unions, no matter what he’ll say:
“Unions have played a very important role historically in balancing in some cases the egregious actions of some employers and have been important to the development of our economy,” Romney said at a town hall meeting in Wolfeboro, New Hampshire, on Tuesday morning.
I smell a new Dem rapid response video.
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