Archive for electoral votes

GOP strategist Mike Murphy: "Democrats begin each presidential election with a near lock on the Electoral College."

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it's a lock

Mike Murphy wrote this commentary in the Detroit Free Press:

The GOP's greatest challenge is the fact that Democrats begin each presidential election with a near lock on the Electoral College. Twenty-one states and the District of Columbia have given their electoral votes to the Democratic presidential nominee in at least five out of the last six elections. These states represent 257 electoral votes out of the 270 needed to win the presidency. Under current trends, the GOP nominee has to pull the equivalent of drawing an inside straight in poker to get to the White House. [...]

The GOP needs to reshuffle the deck and expand the presidential playing field. Success in Michigan could become its electoral ace in the hole.

Mike Murphy, a principal at the Revolution Agency, was the lead strategist to former Michigan Gov. John Engler and U.S. Sen. Spencer Abraham. Trent Wisecup is a Republican consultant who has worked for Abraham, Oakland County Executive Brooks Patterson and U.S. Rep. Joe Knollenberg.

I'm not sure how the Dems have a near lock on the Electoral College when Republicans are indeed "shuffling the deck" and "expanding the presidential playing field" by gerrymandering and disenfranchising voters as fast as they can. If some GOP states have their way, they will "apportion electoral votes by congressional district, a setup far more favorable to Republicans." In fact, it could change the outcome of future elections.

So as much as I want to believe that Dems have the advantage, I find it difficult to be that optimistic.

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Poll-itics: Hillary could win Texas in 2016, but support for secession has increased

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secede texas

PPP has some interesting little tidbits in their new poll. One that stood out was that more Democrats than Republicans support an election-rigging scheme to allocate electoral voters by Congressional District instead of giving them to the statewide winner, by a margin of 28% to 25%.

but wait there's more

Public Policy Polling:

PPP's newest Texas poll finds that, at least for now, Hillary Clinton could win the state in 2016... she would have a decent chance of winning Kentucky if she makes another White House bid. [...]

Support for secession in the state has increased since President Obama's reelection. 20% of voters say they'd like to leave the country to 67% who support staying in the union. That's up from 14% who wanted to secede when we polled on the issue in September of 2011. 35% of Republicans support exiting.

So Texas voters could very well support Hillary Clinton, a Democrat, in 2016 while simultaneously warming to the idea of seceding from the rest of us.

Solution: Allow that 20% of anti-Obama Texans to strand themselves on an island somewhere, while the sane ones vote Hillary into office. See? Bipartisan solutions aren't that hard to find.

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Video- Karl Rove Has Meltdown Over Calling Ohio For President Obama

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Poor Karl, the math is soooo hard. Via.

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PhotOH! Obama v. Bush on jobs. Oh, and NINE electoral college predictions have Obama ahead!

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More here: “The unemployment rate went up slightly because of GOOD news… Job growth improved.”

Here's your Moment of Happy, via Taegan:

Ryan Teague Beckwith rounds up electoral maps from nine political prognosticators, all of which see President Obama winning re-election with anywhere from 281 to 332 electoral votes.

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