Mike Murphy wrote this commentary in the Detroit Free Press:
The GOP's greatest challenge is the fact that Democrats begin each presidential election with a near lock on the Electoral College. Twenty-one states and the District of Columbia have given their electoral votes to the Democratic presidential nominee in at least five out of the last six elections. These states represent 257 electoral votes out of the 270 needed to win the presidency. Under current trends, the GOP nominee has to pull the equivalent of drawing an inside straight in poker to get to the White House. [...]
The GOP needs to reshuffle the deck and expand the presidential playing field. Success in Michigan could become its electoral ace in the hole.
Mike Murphy, a principal at the Revolution Agency, was the lead strategist to former Michigan Gov. John Engler and U.S. Sen. Spencer Abraham. Trent Wisecup is a Republican consultant who has worked for Abraham, Oakland County Executive Brooks Patterson and U.S. Rep. Joe Knollenberg.
I'm not sure how the Dems have a near lock on the Electoral College when Republicans are indeed "shuffling the deck" and "expanding the presidential playing field" by gerrymandering and disenfranchising voters as fast as they can. If some GOP states have their way, they will "apportion electoral votes by congressional district, a setup far more favorable to Republicans." In fact, it could change the outcome of future elections.
So as much as I want to believe that Dems have the advantage, I find it difficult to be that optimistic.