What Does Rand Paul Win In CPAC Straw Poll Really Mean?



Well, once again, Rand Paul has won the CPAC straw poll and the hootin' and hollerin' has already begun. The conservatives have spoken and the junior senator from Kentucky has been ordained "their man." Lord knows we're still eons away from them picking "their woman." That just wouldn't be socially acceptable to the old white man's club for boys.

Anyway, what's this overwhelming win for Paul really mean? How good of a predictor of the future is this victory? Well, to borrow loosely from Texas Senator Rafael 'Ted' Cruz, you should ask former Presidents, Rudy Giuliani, Steve Forbes, Ron Paul, George Allen and Jack Kemp — all of whom flamed out spectacularly in the GOP presidential primaries.

Edwin Starr

Remember the song, "War", by the legendary Edwin Starr? It was a big Motown hit back in 1969. Courtesy of Indylyrics, its refrain was:

War, huh, good God
What is it good for
Absolutely nothing
Listen to me...

If you replace the word "war" with "CPAC Straw Poll" you might have the true context of this "important" Rand Paul victory.

Yet if it does have any meaning as an indicator of things to come, look at the other results of yesterday's poll. Look at who came in behind Paul -- the other horses in the race according to Business Insider:

Here's the Top 9:

  • Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul — 31 percent
  • Texas Sen. Ted Cruz — 11 percent
  • Ben Carson — 9 percent
  • New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie — 8 percent
  • Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker — 7 percent
  • Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum — 7 percent
  • Florida Sen. Marco Rubio — 6 percent
  • Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan — 3 percent
  • Texas Gov. Rick Perry — 3 percent

So the conservatives have spoken and soundly so. By nearly a three to one margin, they picked Paul over Ted Cruz. That's huge. That's so far behind that you can't even hear the band playing in the front of the hall. Then you get a neurosurgeon, Dr. Ben Carson.

Dr. Who?

The good doctor polled even better than much ballyhoo'd Chris Christie. Seems his reputation's carrying around a few extra pounds of tarnish. Then you get the rest of the clowns who piled into the conservative car.

The GOP, at least the conservative wing anyway, has nothing much to offer up but a lot of noise and echos of former presidents past, Rudy Giuliani, Steve Forbes, Ron Paul, George Allen and Jack Kemp. Now ask yourselves, conservatives, "How's that working out for ya?"

  • Bonanza Jackson

    I hear ya Sally. Susana Martinez is an excellent speaker and governor who has faced long odds who doesn't have many friends in the legislature. Jan Brewer in Arizona has been outspoken and brave herself. I like Nikki Haley too, she has a lot of potential but there are some rumors of scandal going on with her. She still is a formidable person though and I hope none of the bad stuff is true. Palin I do respect too, she's pretty brassy about things, and she was very strong in Alaska trying to do the right thing. It got overwhelming for her because of the political game there, and not enough attention was paid to that since it's a time zone away. Bachmann and Coulter... yeah I don't know about all that. The governor of OK, Mary Fallin is pretty solid too. She's fairly new but she has her ideas in order.

  • Bonanza Jackson

    Ted Cruz is using this to predict his own future. A dry statistic that is consistent through only a few election cycles. Where he's wrong is that nothing is certain or predictable in politics, much like sports. Here are some political examples of this in presidential politics. In 1988, a party got 3 consecutive terms in office for the first time in 40 years. In 1992, an independent candidate got a greater percentage of the vote than any independent in decades. In 1996 and 2012 presidents were re-elected after historical stinging defeats in the previous congressional election cycle, which isn't historically common. In 2000, the president was chosen without the popular vote which had only happened once before. In 2004, a president who lost the popular vote the first time around was re-elected (first time in US History.) And in 2008, the first black president was elected. Things change in politics, things are unpredictable.

  • Sally

    And here I thought they were all about Susanah Martinez, and Haley, and whatsher name in Arizona? Not even on the ballot? Not even invited too speak? Yeah, GOP, you sure are reaching out to women. Every photo I saw from this week was of a bunch of white men. In underwear. Yes, they wear their flags on their bums. Appropriate, since they basically s*** on the Constitution every day. But back to the gals. When the only female speakers you can approve of are the hateful lying screeches Bachmann, Coulter and Palin, I'd say not a woman in the country will take you seriously. So keep gathering up those white guys, and get ready to keep losing seats. Please proceed, Mr. Preibus. Your party is dissolving around you.