Seems the Democrats once again don't have a big problem in finding a presidential candidate to coalesce behind. There's Clinton, Elizabeth Warren and even Joe Biden if both of the two ladies don't jump in. And there's a good chance that Warren would only step in if Clinton decided against a run.
But then you look at the Republicans. Damn, they're a strange bunch. The Republican potential candidates keep jostling for the nomination by trying to move more and more to the right. What they don't get is the electorate is much more in the middle. Here's the extremist right:
Shut down the government.
Eliminate healthcare reform.
Austerity and budget restraints
Limit Women's rights.
Outlaw Same Sex Marriage
Increased border "security"
End Social Security
Defund SNAP (food stamps)
Increase oil subsidies
Tax breaks for the rich and large corporations
Remove clean air restrictions
Ban all abortions
Remove all gun restrictions
The list goes on and on, but there's certainly enough here to comment. If a candidate ran on just those issues, they would get about 10% of the vote -- the extreme Republican fringe.
If a candidate ran against all of those, he/she'd get around 45%.
So the winning formula needs to be somewhere in the center of this -- and that means the Democrats need only to move 5% of the uncommitted vote (45%) to take the White House. That's not going to be too hard for a candidate if Rand Paul, Ted "The Canadian" Cruz or even Marco Rubio run.
If Chris Christie runs, he could win -- though getting through the primaries is unlikely. But unlikely because of his own party's intransigence. They don't want him because he's not right-wing conservative enough. The GOP extremists, the 10% from above, will prevent Christie from his party's nomination and that will leave a really distasteful candidate as the GOP standard bearer. How many women, immigrants, students, job seekers or elderly would want someone who's publicly against them and their breathing clean air?
Years ago there were those who liked Ronald Reagan and crossed party lines to vote for him. They became known as the Reagan Democrats. Believe it or not, a move across party lines is taking place even now in 2013 elections. They're not Obama Republicans but may become Clinton Republicans -- something thought impossible just back in 2008. The reason is simple. The list above is not what America wants as a whole. They want a moderate. They want things that work. They're tired of obstructionism and a do-nothing congress. So by default, if not by desire, the Democratic outlook for 2016 is growing better and better every day.
Once people get a look at the anti-woman, anti-progress, anti-minority and anti-jobs stance congress has taken they'll be moved to make a change. And on the state level, the hornets nest stirred by Republican-led state houses is going to cause the GOP to be stung, and repeatedly. Women whose rights have been compromised, elderly, minority and the young whose voter rights are being challenged and immigrants who have seen a path to citizenship dangled in front of them and then snatch away by the Republicans are going to be wielding their stingers with their votes.
Who'd have thought history would mark a political shift and name it Clinton Republicans? Don't laugh. It is more likely than not.