“BP may very well have triggered environmental armageddon” – UPDATED

(via)

UPDATE: The author has updated. I’m bumping this post up because Armadillo deserves to have his clarification read, too.

UPDATE: The basis of this post was a comment at The OilDrum. The commenter is not one of the recognized experts. Those visiting The OilDrum seeking further information should heed the words of ROCKMAN, an experienced drilling rig operator, or Alan from BigEasy, a consulting engineer who has been called in to work on the problem…  per a reliable source.

Please consider that as you read. I do not want to mislead.

*****

Our pal Chris sent me over to read this amazing and terrifying piece over at Broadway Carl’s place, written by Armadillo Joe.

Here’s a sample, but it’s a must-read from top to bottom:

I want to first describe what has happened, what I understand about what went wrong and how, then I want to describe how and why fixing this gusher very likely isn’t possible now or perhaps ever because of the complexity of what is happening at the sea bed under the Gulf. And finally I will talk about what I think we will see happen in the coming weeks and months and years and how we can live with what is to come, because what is to come is very, very, very unpleasant.

Now please go read the post.

  • chris

    Joe has put up Part 1 and a Half, which clarified some things – at least for me. I just wish that this was all a theoretical lesson…
    http://broadwaycarl.blogspot.com/2010/06/and-al

  • broadwaycarl

    Comments based on the OilDrum notwithstanding, the copied Facebook information for what Armadillo Joe considers a reliable source, as they are a direct reflection of those who DO WORK in the oil industry, shouldn't be discounted. I found that information much more useful rather than the hypotheticals of what could happen in the future. That, we do not and cannot know.

    But the info on how a rig works and how this one malfunctioned definitely gave me a better understanding of what's happening and leads me to believe that this is no easy fix, if it can be fixed at all. We're going to wait until August for relief well to pump cement into a casing that may no longer be there or may be too damaged to hold the cement or let the cement set.

    This isn't just Joe's opinion. A scientist on Dylan Ratigan's show equated the relief well idea as “trying to stop the flow of a water fountain with soap suds.”

  • Armadillo Joe

    Apologies. It has been restored at this link — http://broadwaycarl.blogspot.com/2010/06/posted

  • gyma

    Armadillo Joe's post has been deleted. What's up?

  • Armadillo Joe

    GottaLaff, much obliged for the cross-link. A little sad to see the “misconstrue” tag added after the update; entirely my fault.

    I want to make clear to your readers that I am not posing as any sort of expert, I'm just a guy who reads a lot and also happens to know some people who know much more about how all this stuff works. I took a couple of geology classes in college for my science credit and other than being curious about the geologic sciences, that's the extent of my expertise. I will be clarifying this in a post back at Broadway Carl's place later today.

    Because this is an extremely scary situation and people should know what could happen, but panic and alarm don't do anyone any good. Things are bad and they will get worse, true, but no sense in making a bad situtation worse.

  • Jusmeu

    holy fucking crap.
    holy fucking crap.
    i sure hope it don't get this bad!
    holy fucking crap.

  • http://thepoliticalcarnival.net/ GottaLaff

    I agree with that. Thanks!!!

  • chris

    Correct, we don't know how reliable the source is, and i kept that in mind when I read it, but what was said fits with what we've seen, including that video of the oil coming up from the sea floor….and, of course, since that hasn't been confirmed by the gov't or BP, we don't really know if that's a reliable video.
    BUT…the piece does explain (at least to me) how the oil is in the rock layers (yes, I thought oil was in a cavern, like an aquifer) how the pipes are supposed to work, etc. which helps me understand the whole disaster better. So even if the guy is wrong, I still came away better informed than I was going in. :)